Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.070917 0.078565 0.086960 0.096906 0.108431 0.121437 0.137333
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.059559 0.069932 0.082261 0.098188 0.118511 0.143986 0.179012
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.051265 0.062881 0.077550 0.097852 0.125912 0.164442 0.223460
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045871 0.058296 0.074793 0.099001 0.134904 0.188501 0.279627
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041799 0.054705 0.072577 0.100160 0.143710 0.213937 0.346030
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038501 0.051656 0.070539 0.100997 0.151871 0.240004 0.422932
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035568 0.048728 0.068204 0.100841 0.158143 0.264145 0.505912
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032850 0.045796 0.065454 0.099489 0.161912 0.284411 0.589652
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031241 0.044354 0.064811 0.101491 0.172048 0.320010 0.729101
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.029142 0.041941 0.062322 0.099859 0.174801 0.340549 0.840553
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027774 0.040559 0.061371 0.100834 0.182945 0.375884 1.021468
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026279 0.038842 0.059668 0.100144 0.187396 0.403639 1.199677
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025219 0.037781 0.059039 0.101526 0.196946 0.448899 1.493790
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024223 0.036751 0.058364 0.102736 0.206442 0.498202 1.870932
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023091 0.035402 0.056988 0.102314 0.211936 0.538050 2.263666
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022271 0.034533 0.056413 0.103506 0.221829 0.597065 2.887097
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021520 0.033730 0.055884 0.104723 0.232121 0.663154 3.733226
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020790 0.032911 0.055247 0.105607 0.241754 0.732606 4.847241
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020001 0.031932 0.054214 0.105439 0.248359 0.794137 6.154862
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019140 0.030768 0.052721 0.104004 0.250873 0.839830 7.521298
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018698 0.030354 0.052703 0.106128 0.265101 0.951254 10.804846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017918 0.029257 0.051202 0.104396 0.266432 0.998889 13.363422
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017443 0.028714 0.050812 0.105431 0.277454 1.109370 19.298830